Barbalha vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
GUA
38%
23%
39%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
5 - 0
FLO
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 1
UNI
22%
23%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLO
53%
22%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |