Barbalha vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
5 - 0
FLO
29%
23%
49%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
HOR
27%
22%
50%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
4 - 1
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
83%
13%
4%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | -1 |