Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAU
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 2
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
FOR
9%
20%
71%
|
36 | 85 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
5 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |