Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
GPM
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 0
CFS
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
HOR
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GPM
0 - 1
GUA
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 0
FLO
16%
25%
59%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +7 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
FLO
16%
24%
61%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |