Barbalha vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
70.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
FER
4 - 0
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FLO
0 - 3
BAR
63%
21%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
CAM
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAU
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
IGU
83%
13%
4%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |