Barbalha vs Cariri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FLO
3 - 1
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAU
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cariri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GPM
3 - 0
CFS
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ICA
0 - 0
CFS
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
2 - 1
ICA
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CFS
1 - 1
GUA
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
CFS
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |