Barbados vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
64%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 1
DMA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BRB
0 - 2
GUY
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
GRD
0 - 1
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
BRB
0 - 1
CAN
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BRB
2 - 0
GRD
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCG
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
NIR
29%
29%
42%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
NIR
1 - 4
NOR
21%
26%
52%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GRC
1 - 0
NIR
67%
20%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |