Barbados vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
66.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
BRB
1 - 0
JAM
11%
21%
68%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2002 |
BRB
0 - 1
GLP
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2002 |
GRD
0 - 2
BRB
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
BRB
1 - 1
JAM
7%
18%
75%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
BRB
3 - 2
LCA
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SCG
2 - 0
FIN
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
3 - 0
AZE
91%
7%
3%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
FIN
0 - 2
WAL
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
FIN
0 - 3
IRL
30%
25%
44%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
FIN
2 - 1
LVA
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |