WC Qual. CONCACAF 2da Ronda Caribe Final
Global 7-1
Barbados vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ABW
1 - 3
BRB
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
GRD
2 - 3
BRB
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
GRD
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
ATG
65%
19%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
1 - 0
KNA
65%
18%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ABW
1 - 3
BRB
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
PRI
2 - 2
ABW
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ABW
4 - 2
PRI
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
2 - 2
SUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
0 - 1
ANT
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -1 |