Barbados vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
BRB
1 - 1
GUY
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
BRB
0 - 0
VCT
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GUY
3 - 2
BRB
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
GUY
1 - 0
BRB
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
VCT
0 - 0
BRB
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
LCA
4 - 2
ABW
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
ABW
4 - 2
LCA
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LCA
2 - 2
CUW
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SUR
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 0
LCA
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |