Barbados vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 2
BRB
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 1
CUB
11%
20%
69%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GRD
2 - 2
BRB
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GRD
2 - 2
BRB
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
GRD
1 - 1
BRB
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GUY
0 - 0
MSR
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 4
HTI
6%
13%
81%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
3 - 0
MSR
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MSR
3 - 2
BMU
10%
15%
76%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +5 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
HTI
3 - 2
MSR
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | -1 |