Barbados vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BHS
2 - 3
BRB
39%
21%
40%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BRB
1 - 3
HTI
7%
16%
77%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 1
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MSR
4 - 2
BRB
50%
21%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 4
NIC
9%
17%
74%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VIR
3 - 3
BHS
12%
14%
74%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VGB
0 - 0
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 1
VGB
24%
19%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CYM
2 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |