Barbados vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
77.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 1
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MSR
4 - 2
BRB
50%
21%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 4
NIC
9%
17%
74%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
5 - 2
BRB
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 5
DOM
12%
19%
70%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HTI
2 - 1
LCA
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GUF
1 - 1
HTI
18%
19%
63%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
HTI
2 - 3
JAM
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
1 - 1
HTI
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
JAM
2 - 2
HTI
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |