Barbados vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BRB
1 - 2
BMU
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BMU
2 - 1
BRB
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
TTO
4 - 0
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
BRB
0 - 2
GUY
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BRB
0 - 2
TTO
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 0
DMA
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 83 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
DMA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 5
PAN
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 82 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VCT
1 - 0
DMA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DMA
0 - 2
NIC
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |