Barbadás vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
COM
26%
25%
49%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BOI
2 - 1
BAR
81%
14%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
RCV
28%
27%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 0
BOI
21%
24%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RCV
3 - 0
SOM
39%
26%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 2
LAR
71%
18%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 0
SOM
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 3
SIL
67%
19%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |