Barbadás vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
3 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 4
NOI
61%
22%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALO
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARO
22%
26%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NEG
0 - 1
BOI
16%
21%
62%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
RCV
0 - 0
NEG
76%
16%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
NEG
1 - 2
SIL
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NEG
1 - 1
LAR
35%
25%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RIB
3 - 1
NEG
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |