Barbadás vs Moraña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+247%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARN
41%
26%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
UMI
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
POR
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VER
3 - 0
MOR
41%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |