Barbadás vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbadás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARN
41%
26%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 0
UMI
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 0
PON
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AST
0 - 3
ATL
26%
26%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
LDV
73%
18%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
URR
1 - 3
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
1 - 2
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 2
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |