Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-0
Baraunas vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOR
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PET
1 - 3
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAM
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 2
BAR
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
SOU
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CSA
2 - 1
SOU
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |