Baraunas vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
POT
44%
27%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARN
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
POT
2 - 1
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |