Baraunas vs Santa Cruz RN analysis

Baraunas Santa Cruz RN
45 ELO 42
-16.7% Tilt -9.1%
5878º General ELO ranking 4499º
259º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
48.4%
Baraunas
26.1%
Draw
25.5%
Santa Cruz RN

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
Baraunas
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
Santa Cruz RN
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baraunas
+17%
+5%
Santa Cruz RN

ELO progression

Baraunas
Santa Cruz RN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baraunas
Baraunas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2014
ABC
ABC
3 - 0
Baraunas
BAR
75%
16%
9%
46 60 14 0
16 Mar. 2014
ARN
América RN
4 - 2
Baraunas
BAR
76%
16%
8%
46 63 17 0
14 Mar. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 2
Globo
GLO
34%
26%
40%
47 50 3 -1
09 Mar. 2014
BAR
Baraunas
1 - 1
Alecrim
ALE
48%
26%
26%
47 44 3 0
07 Mar. 2014
COR
Coríntians RN
1 - 4
Baraunas
BAR
46%
26%
28%
46 44 2 +1

Matches

Santa Cruz RN
Santa Cruz RN
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 0
Alecrim
ALE
40%
27%
34%
40 43 3 0
16 Mar. 2014
GLO
Globo
1 - 0
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
65%
21%
15%
41 51 10 -1
09 Mar. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 1
ABC
ABC
16%
23%
60%
40 62 22 +1
28 Feb. 2014
POT
Potiguar Mossoró
2 - 2
Santa Cruz RN
SAN
47%
26%
27%
40 43 3 0
23 Feb. 2014
SAN
Santa Cruz RN
1 - 1
Coríntians RN
COR
34%
26%
40%
40 44 4 0