Baraunas vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
COR
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASS
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CRB
3 - 2
BAR
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUV
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
6 - 0
COR
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
POT
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 4
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |