Baraunas vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAM
25%
28%
47%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRA
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |