Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Baraunas vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAM
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 1
BAR
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
HOR
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
MIX
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
MIX
1 - 1
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAM
22%
24%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
MIX
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |