Baraunas vs Palmeira Goianinha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
POT
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 1
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeira Goianinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
GLO
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
POT
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 2
ARN
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |