Potiguar Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Baraunas vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 3
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
ABC
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
83%
12%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |