Baraunas vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
51%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
COR
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 4
BAR
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
POT
0 - 1
BAR
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
ALE
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CEA
3 - 1
FOR
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
FOR
21%
26%
54%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
CEA
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
ICA
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |