Baraunas vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
4 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
GLO
29%
27%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
POT
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 2
BAR
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 0
SAN
26%
23%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 0
ASS
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 1
FEL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |