Baraunas vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 3
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
ARN
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
ARN
12%
21%
67%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |