Baraunas vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
ARN
11%
21%
68%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
COR
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |