Baranovichi vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 3
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 4
LMI
22%
26%
53%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ORS
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FCS
3 - 4
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SMO
1 - 0
ZOR
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
VOL
0 - 1
SMO
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SMO
2 - 3
KHI
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GOM
1 - 1
SMO
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
SMO
47%
28%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |