Baranovichi vs Bumprom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
7º
17º
15º
15
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 69 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 68 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 67 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 58 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 56 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 54 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 52 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 51 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 50 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 46 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 26 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
0 - 8
BAR
11%
15%
74%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ABF
2 - 0
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 15 | 32 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
FCS
69%
18%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ORS
4 - 0
BAR
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bumprom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 1
MKK
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 3
FBG
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FBG
1 - 2
VOL
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TZH
1 - 8
FBG
16%
21%
63%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FBG
1 - 2
BEL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |