Baranovichi vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baranovichi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MKK
1 - 2
BAR
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 3
FCN
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
TZH
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BEL
5 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NEM
2 - 1
FCS
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
FKS
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
FCS
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 2
FCS
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 3
SLA
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |