Barakaldo U19 vs Deportivo Alavés U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
15º
33
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
BCF
56%
22%
21%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
BCF
42%
25%
34%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BCF
2 - 0
CDG
41%
24%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 2
BCF
34%
25%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
0 - 0
DEP
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 3
SDL
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 3
DEP
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 3
CDA
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BCF
0 - 0
DEP
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |