Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 0-1
Barakaldo vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
AUR
0 - 0
BAR
32%
30%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 0
GIM
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
CEP
2 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BAR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 1
IZA
73%
19%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
COM
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 0
OSA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
LEG
0 - 3
VIL
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEG
1 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATB
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |