Barakaldo vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
BAR
0 - 4
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
4 - 2
ARE
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAR
64%
18%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 3
RUN
60%
19%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
VAD
0 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
AVI
6 - 2
VAD
40%
22%
38%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
VAD
0 - 1
DEP
56%
20%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SPO
2 - 1
VAD
77%
14%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
VAD
3 - 0
GIM
81%
12%
8%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |