Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Barakaldo vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
15.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 2
ALA
51%
20%
29%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ALA
1 - 1
BAR
75%
14%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
11 - 2
ARE
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ARE
1 - 4
BAR
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
OSA
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
RCF
2 - 2
VAD
69%
16%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
VAD
5 - 0
RCF
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
2 - 1
SLA
57%
20%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SLA
1 - 3
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
0 - 0
AVI
70%
16%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |