Barakaldo vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEA
0 - 1
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEI
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 0
URD
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 1
BAR
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 0
TOL
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
URD
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
AFT
0 - 0
TOL
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
CDU
20%
25%
56%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOL
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |