Barakaldo vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.1%
6.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAR
53%
22%
25%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 3
ARO
91%
6%
3%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1949 |
RCF
1 - 0
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RAC
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 3
BAR
34%
25%
42%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 0
SAB
37%
24%
38%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 0
GIR
42%
22%
36%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
SGL
5 - 0
BAD
41%
21%
38%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 3
SGL
59%
18%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 0
ORE
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |