Barakaldo vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
CON
1 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
BAR
2 - 1
RCF
68%
17%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
JFC
2 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
BAR
3 - 1
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
RSO
5 - 1
BAR
76%
13%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
SDC
5 - 1
MLL
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CON
3 - 3
SDC
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
4 - 2
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RCF
2 - 2
SDC
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 1
RAC
63%
19%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |