Barakaldo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1953 |
ATH
6 - 1
BAR
93%
5%
2%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATH
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 2
BAR
81%
11%
7%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
BAR
4 - 2
OVI
48%
22%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1953 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VCF
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 2
ZAR
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
ZAR
0 - 3
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
SEV
5 - 2
ZAR
80%
12%
8%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
ZAR
3 - 1
CEL
53%
21%
27%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |