Barakaldo vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ORE
2 - 2
BAR
43%
22%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 2
GIM
60%
19%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
GIR
5 - 1
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
BAR
1 - 6
SPO
43%
23%
35%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SAB
3 - 2
BAR
73%
15%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ZAR
2 - 1
NUM
85%
10%
6%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
UES
3 - 7
ZAR
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
ZAR
1 - 2
SAB
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
RCF
1 - 2
ZAR
53%
20%
27%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ZAR
4 - 0
SGL
84%
9%
6%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |