Barakaldo vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11.9%
9.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
ARE
2 - 1
BAR
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
SLA
71%
15%
14%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 2
RAC
42%
23%
36%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
RCF
3 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
RUN
0 - 0
RCF
38%
22%
40%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
VAD
5 - 1
RUN
72%
15%
13%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
RAC
3 - 0
RUN
83%
10%
6%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
RUN
2 - 3
ARE
56%
19%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
RUN
1 - 2
SLA
55%
20%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |