Barakaldo vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BAD
1 - 2
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RSO
53%
20%
26%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAL
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
6 - 2
VAL
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
RSO
5 - 1
GRA
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RSO
53%
20%
26%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
RSO
7 - 0
CAS
64%
18%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GIR
4 - 1
RSO
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
RSO
4 - 3
LEV
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |