Barakaldo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1973 |
OVI
3 - 0
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 2
RAY
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
CDT
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 1
OVI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
MUR
1 - 0
UES
61%
23%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CAD
0 - 1
MUR
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ELC
1 - 1
MUR
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MUR
2 - 0
SEV
48%
27%
24%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
VAD
2 - 0
MUR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |