Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Barakaldo vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
RAC
1 - 1
BAR
23%
27%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALC
22%
25%
53%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +7 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PON
1 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
SDE
0 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
MUR
0 - 1
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 0
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
MUR
0 - 0
OVI
42%
28%
29%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
MUR
2 - 1
ELC
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |