Barakaldo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
LLE
7 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
BAR
3 - 3
OSA
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
BAR
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 0
BAR
79%
12%
9%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 1
HER
72%
15%
13%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 3
LLE
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
OSA
8 - 4
RJA
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
RJA
1 - 2
MAL
65%
18%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
RJA
0 - 0
BAR
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |