Barakaldo vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
59.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
RAC
2 - 2
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
CER
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
VAD
0 - 4
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RAC
0 - 2
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BET
0 - 0
RAC
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
RAC
0 - 1
RSO
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |