Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-5
Barakaldo vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
LOG
2 - 2
BAR
67%
17%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
TOL
0 - 3
BAR
38%
22%
40%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
BAR
3 - 0
SDE
81%
12%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
BAR
2 - 2
TOL
77%
13%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
SDE
3 - 1
BAR
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
0 - 1
OSA
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OSA
4 - 0
SEV
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
DEP
5 - 0
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
OVI
7 - 1
OSA
65%
17%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
OSA
3 - 2
SPO
48%
21%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |