Barakaldo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAR
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
BAR
2 - 1
OSA
80%
12%
9%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 0
OSA
78%
12%
9%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
BAD
8 - 2
BAR
55%
21%
24%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAB
56%
21%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
6 - 0
GIR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
ARO
2 - 1
NUM
59%
19%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
RCF
4 - 0
NUM
87%
8%
5%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |